Why the Next Pope Probably Won’t Be African
They say the Holy Spirit guides the vote. But what if the Spirit’s voice is silenced by politics, prejudice, and power?
nanadwumor

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African pushback: Cardinals like Ambongo reject Western reforms, resonating locally.
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Conclave risk: His conservative stance may cost him global support.
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Split perspectives: Grassroots want African leadership; bishops prioritize faith over origin.
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Power struggle: Vote tests tradition vs. change as Africa’s influence grows.
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A Global Church in Mourning
Catholics worldwide are draped in sorrow as they bid farewell to Pope Francis, the beloved spiritual leader who passed away in Rome at 88 on Easter Monday. For 12 years, he reigned not as a distant figure of power, but as “the people’s pope“, a humble shepherd who chose simplicity over grandeur.
Africa’s Grief Runs Deep
Nowhere is the pain more palpable than in Africa, where millions felt an unshakable bond with the Argentinian pontiff. In Nigeria, home to one of the continent’s largest Catholic flocks, the jubilant echoes of Easter Sunday have faded, replaced by a heavy silence in cathedrals and prayer halls.
“We Loved His Humility”
“He wasn’t just a pope—he was our pope,” whispered Miranda Mosheshe in Lagos, her voice thick with loss. “So gentle. So kind. He changed the Church forever.” Like countless others, she fears the void his death leaves behind: “God, give us a successor who walks in his footsteps. We need his spirit to live on.”
Habemus Papam Africanii?

Cardinal Peter Turkson, a Vatican insider, is considered a potential successor to Pope Francis
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The Conclave Countdown
In early May, 135 crimson-robed cardinals will lock themselves inside the Vatican, tasked with an earth-shaking decision. Whispers swirl through the sacred halls—could this be the moment history crowns its first African pontiff?
Experience vs. Revolution
The rules are simple: Any cardinal can nominate themselves or a rival. But tradition weighs heavy—leadership often goes to the seasoned, the tested. Yet Africa’s 18 voting cardinals carry more than just votes; they carry the hopes of a continent.
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Peter Turkson: Ghana’s charismatic peacemaker
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A Legacy of Humility and Compassion
Sister Jacinta Tuoniba from northern Ghana reflects on his character. “Cardinal Turkson embodies the same virtues as Pope Francis. He is humble, deeply compassionate, and devoted to the poor and the earth. His life reflects the heart of Christ.”
A Proven Peacemaker
Father Thaddeus Kuusah of Tamale speaks with conviction. “He has all the qualities to lead the Church. His work with Ghana’s National Peace Council, especially during the turbulent 2008 elections, proves his commitment to reconciliation.”
Kuusah’s voice grows solemn. “Christ said, Blessed are the peacemakers. We pray the Holy Spirit guides the cardinals to choose a leader who truly follows Christ’s example.”
Fridolin Ambongo: Congo’s vibrant church leader

Cardinal Fridolin Ambongo, a regular at the Vatican, is arguably the most prominent voice of African Catholics
A Contrast in Leadership: Cardinal Ambongo’s Complex Legacy
While some view Cardinal Ambongo as a progressive voice—championing equal opportunities for women—his divergence from Pope Francis on key issues has drawn sharp attention. In 2023, when Francis moved to allow blessings for same-sex couples, Ambongo led African bishops in open dissent, refusing to implement the decree. His stance resonated deeply across the continent, even as Rome responded with uncharacteristic restraint.
Yet despite this friction, Ambongo’s relationship with the late pontiff remained cordial, particularly in matters of peacebuilding. Donatien Nshole, General Secretary of DR Congo’s Episcopal Conference (CENCO), recalls Francis’ warm engagement with the region—especially during his 2023 visit to Kinshasa, where he met with factions from war-torn North Kivu to foster reconciliation.
On the streets of Kinshasa, enthusiasm for Ambongo’s potential papacy runs high. “It would be Africa’s triumph,” Hugues Tamfumu told DW. “Proof that our continent can shepherd the global Church—and all faithful would celebrate his victory.”
Africa’s Rise. Will the Vatican Finally Take Notice?
A Clash of Visions: African Identity vs. Vatican Reform
For many African Catholics, cardinals like Ambongo represent something crucial: resistance to what they see as Europe imposing its values on the Church. Tamfumu’s voice rings with approval when recalling Ambongo’s defiance: “He declared, ‘No—we Africans reject this.’ No ambiguity. No compromise.”
Yet this unyielding stance could backfire in next month’s conclave. Beyond Africa, Francis’ progressive gestures—including his cautious opening toward LGBTQ+ Catholics—were celebrated as long-overdue reforms. Some Vatican insiders even whisper the late pope didn’t go far enough.
Higher up Africa’s ecclesiastical ladder, however, a more nuanced tone emerges. When pressed about an African papacy, CENCO’s Nshole demurred: “This isn’t about quotas or continents. We need a true shepherd—whether he’s from Kinshasa or Kraków.” A quiet reminder that faith, not geography, may decide St. Peter’s next successor.
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